# Diagnostic report: Claude 3.5 Haiku

Profile: hm-fd49a772c972edad1c9e
Profile digest: f2730bcbe8a183db2a78f34f4a905245f3beb58c02a685339302efd63aededc3

Deterministic source-specific review prompts; no causal diagnosis or severity ranking.
Review items, not independent failures or summed events. Metrics and phases may overlap.

## Review items

### Probabilistic prediction quality

Cohort: hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline
Native score: 0.466
Definition: Inverted binary Brier score; higher is better. Not the raw Brier loss.
Source standard error (native units): 0.039848423276863

The source inverted Brier score is below its mathematical maximum. Brier loss reflects more than calibration alone.

Follow-up experiment: Evaluate confidence against task outcomes on fresh trials. Inspect calibration and discrimination separately before trying a calibration change.

Scope: Agent + scaffold result on the named benchmark. Not a bare-model alignment score. Repeats and overlapping aggregate metrics are dependent.
Source: https://hal.cs.princeton.edu/reliability/benchmark/taubench_airline/

### Input-format robustness

Cohort: hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline
Native score: 0.783
Definition: Structural-perturbation success / baseline success, capped at 1.
Source standard error (native units): 0.2382452662919546

The source capped format-perturbation success ratio is below one. It is not an absolute failure probability.

Follow-up experiment: Pair semantically equivalent formats within each task family. Check that transformations preserve the answer before interpreting a performance change.

Scope: Agent + scaffold result on the named benchmark. Not a bare-model alignment score. Repeats and overlapping aggregate metrics are dependent.
Source: https://hal.cs.princeton.edu/reliability/benchmark/taubench_airline/

### Constraint compliance

Cohort: hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline
Native score: 0.679
Definition: Fraction of source tasks with zero detected constraint violations.

Not all source tasks had zero detected constraint violations. This rate is scoped to the source task constraints.

Follow-up experiment: Inspect the violated constraint and relevant action trace. Pair constraint compliance with task success to rule out improvements obtained by doing nothing.

Scope: Agent + scaffold result on the named benchmark. Not a bare-model alignment score. Repeats and overlapping aggregate metrics are dependent.
Source: https://hal.cs.princeton.edu/reliability/benchmark/taubench_airline/

### Agent task success

Cohort: hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline
Native score: 29.49%
Definition: Successful tasks under the source agent setup.
Source standard error (native units): 5.16301466622967

Task success is below the source maximum for this agent and benchmark. Task failure alone is not misalignment.

Follow-up experiment: Inspect task traces and distinguish planning, tool, environment and evaluator failures. Preserve the source scaffold when reproducing the result.

Scope: Agent + scaffold result on the named benchmark. Not a bare-model alignment score. Repeats and overlapping aggregate metrics are dependent.
Source: https://hal.cs.princeton.edu/reliability/benchmark/taubench_airline/

## Missing evaluation coverage

Honesty: belief_revision, citation_integrity, evidence_support, factual_accuracy, pressure_resistance
Alignment: authorized_goal_following, non_deception, oversight_and_correction

Missing coverage is not evidence of failure. Presence is not complete dimension assessment.

## Unmeasured metrics

None among the diagnostic rules.

## Reported endpoints

Endpoints are rounded source observations, not certification.

- Tool-failure robustness (hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline): 1.000
- Prompt-wording robustness (hal:a0da5842bdd0ca4563dd0d9a67efd62e47e24f9ee7fd42090f196e8bd5bc3a20:taubench\_airline): 1.000

## Evaluation use

Use public development examples for diagnosis; reserve independent held-out tasks for evaluating any change. These suggestions are experiments, not proven training remedies.

No Honesty Mark awarded. This report digest does not authenticate an issuer.
Report digest: a1d561be1ce84cfdfd9b0818ede62e4bb8210160b190d8b0e9c889b2143ca136
